Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.315725 0.339434 0.364739 0.393869 0.426623 0.462482 0.504941
2025-02-09 0.266769 0.301190 0.340796 0.390323 0.451448 0.525588 0.624217
2025-02-16 0.231231 0.270251 0.317659 0.380775 0.464679 0.575672 0.739802
2025-02-23 0.209134 0.251160 0.304492 0.379285 0.485320 0.637120 0.885909
2025-03-02 0.190489 0.233534 0.290018 0.372562 0.495933 0.684941 1.025153
2025-03-09 0.175511 0.218782 0.277136 0.365400 0.503457 0.728190 1.170219
2025-03-16 0.163474 0.206668 0.266295 0.359234 0.510637 0.771342 1.330524
2025-03-23 0.157227 0.201840 0.265023 0.366872 0.540730 0.860833 1.626860
2025-03-30 0.148522 0.192746 0.256537 0.361910 0.548163 0.909282 1.854593
2025-04-06 0.138345 0.180798 0.242767 0.346786 0.534969 0.912981 1.968275
2025-04-13 0.129270 0.169915 0.229830 0.331758 0.519823 0.909306 2.061026
2025-04-20 0.125243 0.166234 0.227677 0.334641 0.538895 0.985681 2.457906
2025-04-27 0.123504 0.166090 0.231385 0.348723 0.583927 1.141454 3.325349
2025-05-04 0.119041 0.161587 0.227886 0.349817 0.603245 1.242734 4.147510
2025-05-11 0.113456 0.155032 0.220577 0.343159 0.604855 1.297486 4.853593
2025-05-18 0.109433 0.150694 0.216632 0.342419 0.619740 1.398501 6.116413
2025-05-25 0.104907 0.145302 0.210523 0.336838 0.622372 1.463130 7.353447
2025-06-01 0.100659 0.140136 0.204461 0.330743 0.622766 1.521586 8.824181
2025-06-08 0.096867 0.135523 0.199061 0.325451 0.624311 1.586118 10.787859
2025-06-15 0.095216 0.134300 0.199486 0.332045 0.657667 1.791757 16.958438
2025-06-22 0.092045 0.130416 0.194932 0.327772 0.661294 1.878816 22.488366
2025-06-29 0.087793 0.124569 0.186563 0.314713 0.638719 1.839790 23.961939
2025-07-06 0.083777 0.118988 0.178447 0.301696 0.614828 1.788101 24.770889